Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.013319 0.015460 0.017824 0.020624 0.023850 0.027448 0.031765
2026-01-25 0.009858 0.012554 0.015803 0.019999 0.025269 0.031664 0.040011
2026-02-01 0.007642 0.010546 0.014319 0.019566 0.026663 0.035915 0.048881
2026-02-08 0.006151 0.009110 0.013218 0.019316 0.028113 0.040317 0.058512
2026-02-15 0.004984 0.007866 0.012114 0.018795 0.029004 0.043972 0.067539
2026-02-22 0.004400 0.007351 0.011938 0.019534 0.031748 0.050552 0.081620
2026-03-01 0.003771 0.006643 0.011331 0.019474 0.033197 0.055294 0.093449
2026-03-08 0.003147 0.005825 0.010404 0.018724 0.033373 0.057968 0.102217
2026-03-15 0.002734 0.005300 0.009880 0.018552 0.034452 0.062196 0.114029
2026-03-22 0.002553 0.005163 0.010008 0.019537 0.037665 0.070422 0.133754
2026-03-29 0.002333 0.004914 0.009889 0.020033 0.040024 0.077372 0.151970
2026-04-05 0.002024 0.004438 0.009265 0.019465 0.040271 0.080427 0.163222
2026-04-12 0.001790 0.004085 0.008847 0.019268 0.041262 0.085101 0.178366
2026-04-19 0.001560 0.003702 0.008310 0.018750 0.041534 0.088395 0.191186
2026-04-26 0.001374 0.003388 0.007872 0.018377 0.042052 0.092239 0.205597
2026-05-03 0.001226 0.003134 0.007529 0.018159 0.042867 0.096776 0.222001
2026-05-10 0.001079 0.002859 0.007098 0.017677 0.043020 0.099897 0.235677
2026-05-17 0.001023 0.002801 0.007166 0.018378 0.045987 0.109566 0.265174
2026-05-24 0.000929 0.002631 0.006937 0.018324 0.047152 0.115279 0.286236
2026-05-31 0.000813 0.002382 0.006474 0.017618 0.046630 0.116995 0.298053
2026-06-07 0.000737 0.002229 0.006237 0.017456 0.047448 0.121995 0.318402
2026-06-14 0.000715 0.002228 0.006403 0.018385 0.051195 0.134581 0.359030
2026-06-21 0.000676 0.002169 0.006399 0.018853 0.053785 0.144561 0.394199